Erik Kolstad

Forecast for November and December 2020

In the Seasonal Forecasting Engine research project, we combine historical data (ERA5) and trends with seasonal forecasts from multiple dynamical models into probabilistic forecasts. The dynamical model data is provided by the Copernicus Climate Data Store (CDS). The method that we use to combine these data sources will be published soon. This is our temperature …

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New study: Attuning to a changing ocean

Climate Futures’s head of innovation, Øyvind Paasche, is one of the co-authors of a new study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), entitled Attuning to a changing ocean. Read a University of Oslo article about the study in Norwegian here.

May, June, July seasonal forecast for northern Europe

The research project Seasonal Forecasting Engine issued a new forecast today (in Norwegian). The figure below shows the predicted temperature anomaly, i.e. the deviation from the average during the last 20 years. The predicted anomalies are quite small, meaning that the forecast models indicate that the period will be neither very warm nor very cold …

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New EU project: CONFER

In September, a new EU-funded Horizon 2020 project will start. CONFER will be led by Erik Kolstad at NORCE and is a multi-national collaboration to bolster resilience to climate impacts and reduce disaster risk in East Africa, potentially reaching 365 million people in 11 countries. The project has eight other partners from Kenya, South Africa, …

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Spring 2020 seasonal forecast for Europe

The research project Seasonal Forecasting Engine has issued a new forecast (in Norwegian). Short summary: the mild weather in Northern Europe will continue.

Workshop: How climate change is shaping Africa

UPDATE: The seminar is postponed due to the Corona crisis. The Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research at the University of Bergen and Christian Michelsen Institute (CMI) are organizing a one-day, invitation-only workshop entitled How climate change is shaping Africa. The workshop will take place at Litteraturhuset in Bergen from 10 a.m. to 6 p.m. on 21 April 2020, ending with a workshop dinner. Norway’s minister …

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Climate Futures video

Enhancing societal resilience and reducing the exposure of our economy to climate risk is becoming more and more urgent, climate researcher and meteorologist Erik Kolstad at NORCE and the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research points out. Short-range weather forecasts are already invaluable tools for planning ahead. There is a clear need for climate information beyond …

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